Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 (8.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.