Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.3%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (7.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.