Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 2-1 (6.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.