Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 65.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 12.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.85%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.99%) , while for a Alanyaspor win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.