Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 1-0 (7.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.