Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 2-1 (7.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.