Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 51.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 22.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%) , while for a Alanyaspor win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.