Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.79%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Trabzonspor win was 2-1 (8.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.