Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Kocaelispor had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Kocaelispor win was 1-0 (8.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.