Turkish Super Lig
Jan 24, 2026 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadyum Samsun
  • Olivier Ntcham 46' yellowcard
  • Joe Mendes 68' yellowcard
  • Cherif Ndiaye 68' yellowcard
  • Tahsin Bülbül 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rigoberto Rivas 46'
  • yellowcard Samet Yalçın 68'
  • yellowcard Can Keleş 78'
  • yellowcard Serdar Dursun 88'

Samsunspor vs Kocaelispor - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Samsunspor

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Jan 18, 2026 2.00pm
Genclerbirligi 1 - 1 Samsunspor
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Anthony Musaba

Kocaelispor

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Jan 18, 2026 2.00pm
Kocaelispor 1 - 2 Trabzonspor
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Dan Agyei

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 52.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.01% and a win for Kocaelispor had a probability of 22.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.05%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%) , while for a Kocaelispor win it was 0-1 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result

Samsunspor 52.77% (-0.03)
Draw 25.01% (+0.05)
Kocaelispor 22.19% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.86%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.22% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 27.78% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 47.3% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 52.7% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 24.88% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 75.12%
Over 4.5 13.83% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 86.17% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Samsunspor 38.44%
Draw 41.7%
Kocaelispor 19.86%

Team To Score First

Samsunspor 56.34% (-0.01)
No Goal 7.92% (+0.01)
Kocaelispor 35.74%

Corners

Over 8 48.73%
Equal 8 12.43%
Under 8 38.84%
Over 9 36.93%
Equal 9 11.79%
Under 9 51.27%
Over 10.5 26.68%
Under 10.5 73.32%

Samsunspor Goals

Over 1.5 46.9% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 53.1% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 21.36% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 78.64% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 7.75% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 92.25% (+0.02)

Kocaelispor Goals

Over 0.5 56.8% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 43.2% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 22.53%
Under 1.5 77.47%
Over 2.5 6.42% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 93.58% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.44% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.56% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Samsunspor 52.77%
Draw 25.01%
Kocaelispor 22.18%
Samsunspor
1-0 @ 12.41%
2-1 @ 10.05%
2-0 @ 9.67% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.42% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.9% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.01)
Other @ 7.74% (-0.01)
Total : 52.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.91% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.92% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.46% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.01%
Kocaelispor
0-1 @ 7.41% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.73%
0-2 @ 3.34% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.69% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.36%
0-3 @ 1.22% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.43% (-0.02)
Total : 22.18%

Head to Head

Turkish Super Lig
Aug 16, 2025 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT