Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.53% and a win for Kocaelispor had a probability of 20.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (10.09%) and 0-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%) , while for a Kocaelispor win it was 1-0 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.