Turkish Cup
Feb 4, 2026 12.30pm
Vefa Stadı

Fatih Karagumruk vs Istanbul Basaksehir - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions
Turkish Cup
Last game
Jan 13, 2026 10.00am
Alanyaspor 2 - 2 Karagumruk

Istanbul Basaksehir

All competitions
Turkish Cup
Last game
Jan 13, 2026 12.30pm
Istanbul 2 - 1 Boluspor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 51.01%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk has a probability of 25.6% and a draw has a probability of 23.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (8.95%) and 1-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win is 1-0 (6.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.58%).

Result

Fatih Karagumruk 25.6% (-0.19)
Draw 23.34% (+0.02)
Istanbul Basaksehir 51.01% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.22%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.88% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 23.12% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 53.52%
Under 2.5 46.48%
Over 3.5 33.36% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 66.59% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 19.8% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 80.2% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Fatih Karagumruk 21.9% (+0.01)
Draw 38.3% (-0.05)
Istanbul Basaksehir 39.8% (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Fatih Karagumruk 35.07% (-0.05)
No Goal 6.11% (-0.01)
Istanbul Basaksehir 58.82% (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 56.87% (-0.02)
Equal 8 11.29%
Under 8 31.83%
Over 9 45.45% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.42%
Under 9 43.13% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 34.81% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 65.19% (+0.02)

Fatih Karagumruk Goals

Over 1.5 28.5% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 71.5% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 10.5% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 89.5% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 3.11% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.89% (+0.02)

Istanbul Basaksehir Goals

Over 0.5 78.84% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 21.16% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 49.88% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 50.12% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 24.69% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 75.31% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 10.35% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 89.65% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Fatih Karagumruk 25.6%
Draw 23.34%
Istanbul Basaksehir 51%
Fatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 6.93% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 5.64% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.84% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 2.72% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.31% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.91% (-0.03)
Total : 25.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.58% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.11% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.34% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.2% (+0.02)
Total : 23.34%
Istanbul Basaksehir
0-1 @ 10.02% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 8.95% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.65%
1-3 @ 5.5% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.55%
2-3 @ 3.18%
Other @ 10.15% (+0.04)
Total : 51%

Head to Head

Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 18
Jan 17, 2026 2.00pm
Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu
Turkish Super Lig
Sep 17, 2025 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 21
Jan 20, 2024 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Vefa Stadi
  • Davide Biraschi 74' yellowcard
  • Davide Biraschi 76' redcard
  • Salih Dursun 88' goal
  • Valentin Eysseric 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Flavio Paoletti 45' (OG)
  • yellowcard Jerome Opoku 56'
  • yellowcard Deniz Turuc 58'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 2
Aug 20, 2023 5.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu
  • Eden Karzev 28' yellowcard
  • Serdar Gurler 31' yellowcard
  • Dimitris Pelkas 85' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan Mendes 6'
  • goal Muhammed Sengezer 30' (OG)
  • yellowcard Ryan Mendes 38'
  • yellowcard Marcus Rohden 61'
  • yellowcard Otabek Shukurov 90'
  • yellowcard Salih Dursun 90'+4'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 26
Mar 19, 2023 1.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Vefa Stadı
  • Fabio Borini 45'+4' goal
  • Mbaye Diagne 90'+2' goal
  • goal Danijel Aleksic 42'
  • goal Serdar Gurler 90'+1'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 7
Sep 18, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT BaÅŸakÅŸehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu