Turkish Cup
Feb 4, 2026 12.30pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT Vefa Stadı
  • 46' yellowcard
  • Baris Kalayci 46' yellowcard
  • Sam Larsson 46' yellowcard
  • Berkay Ozcan 46' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Esgaio 46' yellowcard
  • Barış Kalaycı 46' yellowcard
  • Berkay Özcan 46' yellowcard
  • Davide Biraschi 71' yellowcard
  • Abdul Kader Moussa Kone 79' goal
  • goal Abbosbek Fayzullayev 8'
  • goal Abbosbek Fayzullaev 8'
  • goal Eldor Shomurodov 22'
  • yellowcard Miguel Crespo 26'
  • yellowcard Hamza Gureler 46'
  • yellowcard 46'
  • yellowcard Hamza Güreler 46'
  • goal Miguel Crespo 50'
  • yellowcard Festy Ebosele 58'
  • yellowcard Yusuf Sari 58'
  • yellowcard Yusuf Sarı 58'
  • goal Ivan Brnic 65'
  • yellowcard Jakub Kaluzinski 66'

Fatih Karagumruk vs Istanbul Basaksehir - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions
Turkish Cup
Last game
Jan 13, 2026 10.00am
Alanyaspor 2 - 2 Karagumruk

Istanbul Basaksehir

All competitions
Turkish Cup
Last game
Jan 13, 2026 12.30pm
Istanbul 2 - 1 Boluspor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 51.96%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.99%) and 1-2 (8.98%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 (6.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%).

Result

Fatih Karagumruk 25.48% (-0.13)
Draw 22.56% (-0.79)
Istanbul Basaksehir 51.96% (+0.96)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.33% (+1.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.3% (+1.43)
Under 1.5 21.7% (-1.43)
Over 2.5 55.2% (+1.68)
Under 2.5 44.8% (-1.68)
Over 3.5 33.71% (+0.36)
Under 3.5 66.29% (-0.30)
Over 4.5 20.21% (+0.42)
Under 4.5 79.79% (-0.41)

First Half Winner

Fatih Karagumruk 22.87% (+0.98)
Draw 37.92% (-0.38)
Istanbul Basaksehir 39.21% (-0.59)

Team To Score First

Fatih Karagumruk 36.04% (+0.97)
No Goal 5.65% (-0.46)
Istanbul Basaksehir 58.31% (-0.51)

Corners

Over 8 55.98% (-0.90)
Equal 8 11.45% (+0.17)
Under 8 32.57% (+0.75)
Over 9 44.48% (-0.98)
Equal 9 11.5% (+0.09)
Under 9 44.02% (+0.90)
Over 10.5 33.86% (-0.96)
Under 10.5 66.14% (+0.96)

Fatih Karagumruk Goals

Over 1.5 28.65% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 71.35% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 10.36% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 89.64% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 2.96% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 97.04% (+0.16)

Istanbul Basaksehir Goals

Over 0.5 79.52% (+0.68)
Under 0.5 20.48% (-0.68)
Over 1.5 51.36% (+1.48)
Under 1.5 48.64% (-1.48)
Over 2.5 25.87% (+1.18)
Under 2.5 74.13% (-1.19)
Over 3.5 10.66% (+0.32)
Under 3.5 89.34% (-0.32)

Score analysis

Fatih Karagumruk 25.48%
Draw 22.55%
Istanbul Basaksehir 51.97%
Fatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 6.76% (-0.17)
2-1 @ 5.84% (+0.21)
2-0 @ 3.68% (-0.16)
3-1 @ 2.6% (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 1.55% (+0.24)
Other @ 2.84% (-0.08)
Total : 25.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.43% (-0.16)
0-0 @ 5.65% (-0.46)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.12% (-0.09)
Total : 22.55%
Istanbul Basaksehir
0-1 @ 9.29% (-0.74)
0-2 @ 8.99% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 8.98% (+0.34)
1-3 @ 5.59% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 5.12% (+0.58)
2-3 @ 3.46% (+0.28)
Other @ 10.54% (+0.39)
Total : 51.97%

Head to Head

Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 18
Jan 17, 2026 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu
  • Eldor Shomurodov 15' goal
  • Davie Selke 46' yellowcard
  • Ivan Brnic 57' yellowcard
  • Bertuğ Yıldırım 81' yellowcard
  • Ömer Ali Şahiner 87' goal
  • Onur Ergün 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ahmed Traore 57'
  • yellowcard Marius Tresor Doh 67'
  • goal David Datro Fofana 75'
  • yellowcard Tiago Çukur 84'
Turkish Super Lig
Sep 17, 2025 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 21
Jan 20, 2024 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Vefa Stadi
  • Davide Biraschi 74' yellowcard
  • Davide Biraschi 76' redcard
  • Salih Dursun 88' goal
  • Valentin Eysseric 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Flavio Paoletti 45' (OG)
  • yellowcard Jerome Opoku 56'
  • yellowcard Deniz Turuc 58'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 2
Aug 20, 2023 5.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu
  • Eden Karzev 28' yellowcard
  • Serdar Gurler 31' yellowcard
  • Dimitris Pelkas 85' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan Mendes 6'
  • goal Muhammed Sengezer 30' (OG)
  • yellowcard Ryan Mendes 38'
  • yellowcard Marcus Rohden 61'
  • yellowcard Otabek Shukurov 90'
  • yellowcard Salih Dursun 90'+4'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 26
Mar 19, 2023 1.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Vefa Stadı
  • Fabio Borini 45'+4' goal
  • Mbaye Diagne 90'+2' goal
  • goal Danijel Aleksic 42'
  • goal Serdar Gurler 90'+1'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 7
Sep 18, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT BaÅŸakÅŸehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu