Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 51.96%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.99%) and 1-2 (8.98%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 (6.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%).