Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Goztepe SK win with a probability of 57.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.28% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 17.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Goztepe SK win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (10.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%) , while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.