Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 54.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.52% and a win for Caykur Rizespor had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.09%) and 2-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%) , while for a Caykur Rizespor win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.