Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 (9.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.