Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 60.94%. A win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 19.54% and a draw had a probability of 19.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9%) and 1-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Istanbulspor win was 1-2 (4.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.