Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 45.26%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 0-1 (7.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.