Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (7.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.