Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Kocaelispor had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Kocaelispor win was 1-0 (9.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.