Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kocaelispor win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kocaelispor win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 1-0 (9.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.