Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kocaelispor win with a probability of 48.03%. A draw had a probability of 26.49% and a win for Gaziantep had a probability of 25.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kocaelispor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%) , while for a Gaziantep win it was 0-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.