Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gaziantep win with a probability of 48.07%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gaziantep win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 0-1 (8.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.