Turkish Super Lig
Jan 30, 2026 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
  • Cem Ustundag 63' yellowcard
  • Jim Allevinah 63' yellowcard
  • Cem Üstündag 63' yellowcard
  • Cenk Tosun 76' yellowcard
  • Mamadou Fall 85' yellowcard
  • Kubilay Kanatsizkus 85' yellowcard
  • Kubilay Kanatsızkuş 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marius Mouandilmadji 74'
  • yellowcard Celil Yuksel 74'
  • yellowcard Joe Mendes 74'
  • yellowcard Celil Yüksel 74'
  • goal Jaures Assoumou 90'+2'
  • goal Jaurès Assoumou 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Yunus Cift 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Yunus Emre Çift 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Toni Borevkovic 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Toni Borevković 90'+6'

Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Kasimpasa

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Jan 23, 2026 5.00pm
Trabzonspor 2 - 1 Kasimpasa
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Fousseni Diabate

Samsunspor

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 2.00pm
Samsunspor 0 - 0 Kocaelispor
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Anthony Musaba

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 37.79%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 1-0 (10.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result

Kasimpasa 34.2% (+0.08)
Draw 28% (-0.06)
Samsunspor 37.79% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.21% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.44% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 31.56% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 43.57% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 56.43% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 23.21% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 76.79% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 11.61% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 88.39% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Kasimpasa 28.65% (+0.08)
Draw 42.74% (-0.04)
Samsunspor 28.61% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Kasimpasa 46.87% (+0.03)
No Goal 9.82% (-0.05)
Samsunspor 43.31% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 62.31%
Equal 8 11.1%
Under 8 26.59%
Over 9 50.58%
Equal 9 11.73%
Under 9 37.69%
Over 10.5 39.24%
Under 10.5 60.76%

Kasimpasa Goals

Over 1.5 31.63% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 68.37% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 11.18% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 88.82% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 3.24% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 96.76% (-0.04)

Samsunspor Goals

Over 0.5 68.35% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 31.65% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 34.13% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 65.87% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 12.69% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 87.31% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.72% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.28% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Kasimpasa 34.21%
Draw 28.01%
Samsunspor 37.8%
Kasimpasa
1-0 @ 10.47%
2-1 @ 7.33% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.01% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.22% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.14%
3-2 @ 1.81% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.23% (+0.03)
Total : 34.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.38% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.82% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.03% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.01%
Samsunspor
0-1 @ 11.29% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 8.14%
0-2 @ 6.46%
1-3 @ 3.36% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.76% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.08% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.71% (+0.01)
Total : 37.8%

Head to Head

Turkish Super Lig
Sep 17, 2025 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 29
Mar 29, 2025 1.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadyum Samsun
  • Landry Dimata 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nuno da Costa 5'
  • yellowcard Kamil Piatkowski 28'
  • goal Mamadou Fall 68'
  • goal Nuno da Costa 80'
  • yellowcard Kevin Rodrigues 90'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 10
Oct 26, 2024 2.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 0
FT Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu
  • Mortadha Ben Ouannes 16' yellowcard
  • Aytac Kara 31' goal
  • Aytac Kara 36' yellowcard
  • Haris Hajradinovic 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Nicholas Opoku 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Olivier Ntcham 49'
  • yellowcard Rick van Drongelen 45'+5'
  • goal Carlo Holse 68'
  • goal Soner Aydogdu 71'
  • goal Carlo Holse 77'
  • goal Flavien Tait 86'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 34
Apr 27, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu
  • Aytac Kara 3' goal
  • Mamadou Fall 41' yellowcard
  • Andreas Gianniotis 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Landry Dimata 72'
  • yellowcard Rick van Drongelen 78'
  • yellowcard Moryke Fofana 83'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 15
Dec 9, 2023 1.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 0
FT Stadyum Samsun
  • Marius Mouandilmadji 11' goal
  • Marius Mouandilmadji 22' goal
  • Olivier Ntcham 44' yellowcard
  • Emre Kilinc 60' goal
  • Olivier Ntcham 75' goal
  • goal Yasin Ozcan 90'+1'
  • goal Nuno da Costa 90'+5'