Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 37.79%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 1-0 (10.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.