Premier League Gameweek 30
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Stadium of Light

Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions
Last game
Mar 3, 2026 7.30pm
Leeds 0 - 1 Sunderland
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Brian Brobbey

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2026 7.30pm
Brighton 0 - 1 Arsenal
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Diego Gomez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Sunderland has a probability of 30.3% and a draw has a probability of 26.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Sunderland win is 1-0 (8.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.18%).

Result

Sunderland 30.3%
Draw 26.02%
Brighton & Hove Albion 43.69%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.65%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.89%
Under 1.5 25.11%
Over 2.5 50.76%
Under 2.5 49.24%
Over 3.5 28.64%
Under 3.5 71.36%
Over 4.5 15.65%
Under 4.5 84.35%

First Half Winner

Sunderland 26.78%
Draw 43.16%
Brighton & Hove Albion 30.06%

Team To Score First

Sunderland 42.95%
No Goal 6.92%
Brighton & Hove Albion 50.13%

Corners

Over 8 56.13%
Equal 8 11.8%
Under 8 32.07%
Over 9 44.27%
Equal 9 11.87%
Under 9 43.87%
Over 10.5 33.33%
Under 10.5 66.67%

Sunderland Goals

Over 1.5 31.88%
Under 1.5 68.12%
Over 2.5 11.45%
Under 2.5 88.55%
Over 3.5 3.35%
Under 3.5 96.65%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 75.12%
Under 0.5 24.88%
Over 1.5 42.72%
Under 1.5 57.28%
Over 2.5 18.41%
Under 2.5 81.59%
Over 3.5 6.34%
Under 3.5 93.66%

Score analysis

Sunderland 30.29%
Draw 26.02%
Brighton & Hove Albion 43.68%
Sunderland
1-0 @ 8.15%
2-1 @ 7.29%
2-0 @ 4.69%
3-1 @ 2.9%
3-2 @ 2.15%
3-0 @ 1.91%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 30.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.18%
0-0 @ 6.92%
2-2 @ 5.63%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 26.02%
Brighton & Hove Albion
0-1 @ 10.03%
1-2 @ 9.26%
0-2 @ 7.27%
1-3 @ 4.46%
0-3 @ 3.65%
2-3 @ 2.82%
Other @ 6.19%
Total : 43.68%

Head to Head

Premier League
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Brajan Gruda 19' yellowcard
  • Diego Coppola 34' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Ballard 79'
  • yellowcard Enzo Le Fee 86'
Championship
Feb 19, 2005 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Adam Virgo 4' yellowcard
  • Richard Carpenter 26' goal
  • Adam Virgo 30' redcard
  • Mark McCammon 43' goal
  • Leon Knight 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stephen Wright 48'
  • yellowcard George McCartney 64'
  • goal Julio Arca 80'
Championship
Oct 30, 2004 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jeff Whitley 37' yellowcard
  • Julio Arca 64' goal
  • Julio Arca 66' yellowcard
  • Liam Lawrence 82' goal
  • yellowcard Guy Butters 59'