Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-0 (8.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.