Premier League Gameweek 29
Mar 3, 2026 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Elland Road
  • Lukas Nmecha 62' yellowcard
  • Wilfried Gnonto 74' yellowcard
  • Daniel James 74' yellowcard
  • Jayden Bogle 84' yellowcard
  • Joël Piroe 84' yellowcard
  • Jaka Bijol 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wilson Isidor 55'
  • yellowcard Granit Xhaka 56'
  • yellowcard Habib Diarra 70'
  • yellowcard Bertrand Traoré 88'
  • yellowcard Chris Rigg 90'+5'

Leeds United vs Sunderland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 5.30pm
Leeds 0 - 1 Man City
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Sunderland

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 12.30pm
Bournemouth 1 - 1 Sunderland
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Brian Brobbey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 49.56%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Sunderland had a probability of 24.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%) , while for a Sunderland win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result

Leeds United 49.56% (+0.92)
Draw 26% (+0.06)
Sunderland 24.41% (-1.00)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.47% (-0.61)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.56% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 28.44% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 46.69% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 53.31% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 24.87% (-0.35)
Under 3.5 75.13% (+0.35)
Over 4.5 13.39% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 86.61% (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Leeds United 35.99% (+0.15)
Draw 42.47%
Sunderland 21.54% (-0.15)

Team To Score First

Leeds United 55.44% (-0.04)
No Goal 8.11% (+0.13)
Sunderland 36.45% (-0.09)

Corners

Over 8 60.51% (+0.09)
Equal 8 11.27% (-0.05)
Under 8 28.22% (-0.05)
Over 9 48.77% (+0.13)
Equal 9 11.74% (-0.03)
Under 9 39.49% (-0.09)
Over 10.5 37.57% (+0.14)
Under 10.5 62.43% (-0.14)

Leeds United Goals

Over 1.5 44.48% (+0.41)
Under 1.5 55.52% (-0.41)
Over 2.5 19.37% (+0.20)
Under 2.5 80.63% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 6.68% (+0.22)
Under 3.5 93.32% (-0.23)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5 59.23% (-1.05)
Under 0.5 40.77% (+1.05)
Over 1.5 24.79% (-0.97)
Under 1.5 75.21% (+0.96)
Over 2.5 7.56% (-0.39)
Under 2.5 92.44% (+0.38)
Over 3.5 1.87% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 98.13% (+0.13)

Score analysis

Leeds United 49.55%
Draw 26%
Sunderland 24.41%
Leeds United
1-0 @ 12.4% (+0.26)
2-1 @ 9.7% (+0.19)
2-0 @ 9.04% (+0.15)
3-1 @ 4.73% (-0.13)
3-0 @ 4.59% (+0.22)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.03)
Other @ 6.59% (+0.25)
Total : 49.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.12% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 8.11% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.09% (-0.03)
Total : 26%
Sunderland
0-1 @ 7.89% (-0.20)
1-2 @ 6.21% (-0.24)
0-2 @ 3.71% (-0.30)
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.11)
0-3 @ 1.32% (+0.04)
Other @ 1.78% (-0.11)
Total : 24.41%

Head to Head

Premier League
Dec 28, 2025 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Simon Adingra 28' goal
  • Trai Hume 61' yellowcard
  • goal Dominic Calvert-Lewin 47'
Championship Gameweek 33
Feb 17, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Elland Road
  • Ao Tanaka 31' yellowcard
  • Jayden Bogle 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Pascal Struijk 78' goal
  • Junior Firpo 90' yellowcard
  • Pascal Struijk 90'+5' goal
  • goal Wilson Isidor 32'
  • yellowcard Wilson Isidor 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Jobe Bellingham 56'
  • yellowcard Trai Hume 61'
  • yellowcard Dennis Cirkin 80'
  • yellowcard Anthony Patterson 83'
  • yellowcard Luke O'Nien 90'+3'
Championship Gameweek 9
Oct 4, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadium of Light
  • Chris Rigg 9' goal
  • Jobe Bellingham 46' yellowcard
  • Daniel Neill 61' yellowcard
  • Chris Rigg 65' yellowcard
  • Junior Firpo 90'+7' goal
  • goal Joel Piroe 22'
  • yellowcard Joe Rodon 39'
  • goal Junior Firpo 56'
  • yellowcard Junior Firpo 68'
  • yellowcard Jayden Bogle 90'+6'
Championship Gameweek 42
Apr 9, 2024 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Elland Road
  • Glen Kamara 70' yellowcard
  • Junior Firpo 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Ballard 21'
  • yellowcard Luke O'Nien 46'
  • yellowcard Chris Rigg 57'
  • yellowcard Jobe Bellingham 62'
Championship Gameweek 21
Dec 12, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium of Light
  • Luke O'Nien 40' yellowcard
  • Jobe Bellingham 78' goal
  • yellowcard Archie Gray 28'
  • yellowcard Ethan Ampadu 64'
  • yellowcard Daniel James 70'
Championship
Apr 7, 2018 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Pablo Hernandez 72' goal
  • Paudie O'Connor 75' yellowcard
  • Ezgjan Alioski 83' yellowcard
  • Pontus Jansson 90' yellowcard
  • Gaetano Berardi 90' redcard
  • yellowcard George Honeyman 12'
  • goal Paddy McNair 49'
  • yellowcard Lamine Kone 70'
  • yellowcard Callum McManaman 90'

Build-up

How to watch
Head to head
Predicted Lineups