Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 65.17%. A draw had a probability of 20.23% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 14.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (10.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%) , while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-2 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.