Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 57.89%. A draw had a probability of 22.43% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 19.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%) , while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.