Premier League
Bournemouth
May 3, 2026 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Vitality Stadium
Crystal Palace
  • Jefferson Lerma 10' goal
  • Eli Kroupi 32' yellowcard
  • David Brooks 69' yellowcard
  • Ryan Christie 69' yellowcard
  • Ryan Christie 70' yellowcard
  • David Brooks 70' yellowcard
  • Rayan 77' goal
  • Enes Ünal 80' yellowcard
  • Amine Adli 86' yellowcard
  • Ben Gannon-Doak 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tyrick Mitchell 46'
  • yellowcard Ismaïla Sarr 46'
  • yellowcard Adam Wharton 46'
  • yellowcard Jean-Philippe Mateta 65'
  • yellowcard Chris Richards 76'

Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions
Last game
Apr 22, 2026 8.00pm
Bournemouth 2 - 2 Leeds
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Evanilson

Crystal Palace

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
Liverpool 3 - 1 Crystal Palace
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Jørgen Strand Larsen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 37.65%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (8.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result

Bournemouth 37.65% ▼ (-0.31)
Draw 26.4% ▲ (+0.17)
Crystal Palace 35.92% ▲ (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.88% ▼ (-0.60)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.36% ▼ (-0.52)
Under 1.5 25.64% ▲ (+0.52)
Over 2.5 50.19% ▼ (-0.77)
Under 2.5 49.81% ▲ (+0.77)
Over 3.5 27.65% ▼ (-0.74)
Under 3.5 72.35% ▲ (+0.73)
Over 4.5 14.89% ▼ (-0.56)
Under 4.5 85.11% ▲ (+0.57)

First Half Winner

Bournemouth 27.92%
Draw 41.17%
Crystal Palace 30.9%

Team To Score First

Bournemouth 44.78% ▼ (-0.11)
No Goal 7.53% ▲ (+0.20)
Crystal Palace 47.69% ▼ (-0.10)

Corners

Over 8 65.41%
Equal 8 11.06%
Under 8 23.53%
Over 9 53.36%
Equal 9 12.04%
Under 9 34.59%
Over 10.5 41.46%
Under 10.5 58.54%

Bournemouth Goals

Over 1.5 37.38% ▼ (-0.65)
Under 1.5 62.62% ▲ (+0.65)
Over 2.5 15% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 2.5 85% ▲ (+0.50)
Over 3.5 4.54% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 3.5 95.46% ▲ (+0.25)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5 69.59% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 30.41% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 1.5 36.4% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 1.5 63.6% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 2.5 14.09% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 2.5 85.91% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 3.5 4.28% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 95.72% ▲ (+0.13)

Score analysis

Bournemouth 37.64%
Draw 26.4%
Crystal Palace 35.91%
Bournemouth
1-0 @ 9.36% ▲ (+0.15)
2-1 @ 8.45% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.13% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 4.41% ▼ (-0.25)
Total : 37.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.24% ▲ (+0.11)
0-0 @ 7.53% ▲ (+0.20)
2-2 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 26.4%
Crystal Palace
0-1 @ 8.7% ▲ (+0.18)
1-2 @ 8.6% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.82% ▲ (+0.12)
1-3 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 4.15% ▼ (-0.11)
Total : 35.91%

Head to Head

Premier League
Crystal Palace
Oct 18, 2025 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Bournemouth
Premier League Gameweek 33
Crystal Palace
Apr 19, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Selhurst Park
Bournemouth
  • Chris Richards 29' yellowcard
  • Chris Richards 45'+1' redcard
  • Ismaila Sarr 47' yellowcard
  • Daniel Munoz 71' yellowcard
  • Jefferson Lerma 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tyler Adams 18'
  • yellowcard Alex Scott 25'
  • yellowcard Justin Kluivert 47'
  • yellowcard Dango Ouattara 49'
Premier League Gameweek 18
Bournemouth
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vitality Stadium
Crystal Palace
  • Justin Kluivert 4' yellowcard
  • Dean Huijsen 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eberechi Eze 7'
  • yellowcard Marc Guehi 60'
Premier League Gameweek 31
Bournemouth
Apr 2, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 1
FT Vitality Stadium
Crystal Palace
  • Marcus Tavernier 63' yellowcard
  • Antoine Semenyo 68' yellowcard
  • Justin Kluivert 79' goal
  • Lloyd Kelly 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joachim Andersen 35'
  • goal Eberechi Eze 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Will Hughes 59'
Premier League Gameweek 15
Crystal Palace
Dec 6, 2023 7.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Selhurst Park
Bournemouth
  • Odsonne Edouard 45' yellowcard
  • goal Marcos Senesi 25'
  • yellowcard Marcos Senesi 53'
  • yellowcard Illia Zabarnyi 63'
  • yellowcard Dango Ouattara 83'
  • goal Kieffer Moore 90'+1'
Premier League Gameweek 36
Crystal Palace
May 13, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Bournemouth
  • Eberechi Eze 39' goal
  • Eberechi Eze 58' goal

Form Data

Bournemouth 2 - 2 Leeds
Newcastle 1 - 2 Bournemouth
Arsenal 1 - 2 Bournemouth
Bournemouth 2 - 2 Man Utd
Burnley 0 - 0 Bournemouth
Bournemouth 0 - 0 Brentford
Shakhtar 1 - 3 Crystal Palace
Liverpool 3 - 1 Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace 0 - 0 West Ham
Fiorentina 2 - 1 Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace 2 - 1 Newcastle
Crystal Palace 3 - 0 Fiorentina

Build-up

Predicted Lineups
News