Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.92%) and 2-1 (7.73%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (8.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.