Premier League Gameweek 34
Apr 22, 2026 8.00pm
Vitality Stadium

Bournemouth vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 12.30pm
Arsenal 1 - 2 Bournemouth
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Evanilson

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 13, 2026 8.00pm
Man Utd 1 - 2 Leeds
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bournemouth win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Leeds United has a probability of 29.16% and a draw has a probability of 28.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.01%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest Leeds United win is 0-1 (8.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.62%).

Result

Bournemouth 42.36%
Draw 28.48%
Leeds United 29.16%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.82%

Goals

Over 1.5 66.92%
Under 1.5 33.08%
Over 2.5 42.74%
Under 2.5 57.26%
Over 3.5 23.3%
Under 3.5 76.71%
Over 4.5 12.69%
Under 4.5 87.31%

First Half Winner

Bournemouth 30.6%
Draw 41.31%
Leeds United 28.09%

Team To Score First

Bournemouth 45.45%
No Goal 11.2%
Leeds United 43.35%

Corners

Over 8 65.12%
Equal 8 10.81%
Under 8 24.07%
Over 9 53.41%
Equal 9 11.7%
Under 9 34.88%
Over 10.5 41.85%
Under 10.5 58.15%

Bournemouth Goals

Over 1.5 36.55%
Under 1.5 63.45%
Over 2.5 14.43%
Under 2.5 85.57%
Over 3.5 4.44%
Under 3.5 95.56%

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 59.68%
Under 0.5 40.32%
Over 1.5 28.42%
Under 1.5 71.58%
Over 2.5 10.5%
Under 2.5 89.5%
Over 3.5 3.3%
Under 3.5 96.7%

Score analysis

Bournemouth 42.36%
Draw 28.48%
Leeds United 29.16%
Bournemouth
1-0 @ 13.33%
2-0 @ 8.01%
2-1 @ 7.67%
3-1 @ 3.42%
3-0 @ 3.41%
3-2 @ 2.15%
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 42.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.62%
0-0 @ 11.2%
2-2 @ 4.58%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 28.48%
Leeds United
0-1 @ 8.55%
1-2 @ 6.65%
0-2 @ 4.54%
1-3 @ 2.62%
2-3 @ 1.86%
0-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 29.16%

Head to Head

Premier League
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 34
Apr 30, 2023 2.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Jefferson Lerma 20' goal
  • Jefferson Lerma 24' goal
  • Dominic Solanke 63' goal
  • Antoine Semenyo 90'+1' goal
  • goal Patrick Bamford 32'
Premier League Gameweek 15
Nov 5, 2022 3.00pm
4
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Rodrigo 3' goal
  • Sam Greenwood 60' goal
  • Liam Cooper 68' goal
  • Crysencio Summerville 84' goal
  • goal Marcus Tavernier 7'
  • goal Philip Billing 19'
  • goal Dominic Solanke 48'
Championship
Jan 20, 2015 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lewis Cook 15' yellowcard
  • Luke Murphy 36' goal
  • Sam Byram 84' yellowcard
  • Giuseppe Bellusci 86' redcard
  • yellowcard Simon Francis 47'
Championship
Sep 16, 2014 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Andrew Surman 6' goal
  • Harry Arter 84' yellowcard
  • goal Souleymane Doukara 67'
  • yellowcard Giuseppe Bellusci 80'
  • goal Giuseppe Bellusci 82'
  • goal Mirco Antenucci 89'
Championship
Mar 25, 2014 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Yann Kermorgant 2' goal
  • Lewis Grabban 18' goal
  • Lewis Grabban 28' goal
  • Yann Kermorgant 51' goal
  • goal Ross McCormack 69'