Premier League Gameweek 32
Man Utd
Apr 13, 2026 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Old Trafford
Leeds
  • Casemiro 69' goal
  • Diogo Dalot 70' yellowcard
  • Bryan Mbeumo 70' yellowcard
  • goal Noah Okafor 5'
  • goal Noah Okafor 29'
  • yellowcard Wilfried Gnonto 74'
  • yellowcard Ilia Gruev 74'
  • yellowcard Sean Longstaff 86'

Manchester United vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 20, 2026 8.00pm
Bournemouth 2 - 2 Man Utd
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Matheus Cunha

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 8.00pm
Leeds 0 - 0 Brentford
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 55.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 20.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%) , while for a Leeds United win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result

Manchester United 55.12% ▲ (+0.05)
Draw 24.8%
Leeds United 20.08% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.88% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.17% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 27.83% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 48.47% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 51.53% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 27.76% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 72.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 4.5 16.23% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 83.77% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Manchester United 37.37%
Draw 40.47%
Leeds United 22.16%

Team To Score First

Manchester United 56.06% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 8.41% ▲ (+0.05)
Leeds United 35.53% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 54.43% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 8 11.01%
Under 8 34.56% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 9 43.54% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 9 10.89%
Under 9 45.57% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 10.5 33.57% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 10.5 66.43% ▲ (+0.03)

Manchester United Goals

Over 1.5 49.3% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 50.7% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 23.14% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 76.86% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 8.8% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 91.2% ▲ (+0.02)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 53.86% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 0.5 46.14% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 1.5 22.46% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 77.54% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 7.36% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 92.64% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.86% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Manchester United 55.12%
Draw 24.8%
Leeds United 20.07%
Manchester United
1-0 @ 13.21% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 10.41% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.45% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.44%
3-1 @ 5.11%
3-2 @ 2.84%
Other @ 8.66% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 55.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.64% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.41% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 24.8%
Leeds United
0-1 @ 6.2%
1-2 @ 4.94% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.75%
2-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2%
Total : 20.07%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 20
Leeds
Jan 4, 2026 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Elland Road
Man Utd
  • Brenden Aaronson 62' goal
  • Lukas Nmecha 75' yellowcard
  • Ao Tanaka 80' yellowcard
  • Wilfried Gnonto 80' yellowcard
  • Joël Piroe 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joshua Zirkzee 63'
  • goal Matheus Cunha 65'
Club Friendlies 1
Man Utd
Jul 19, 2025 3.00pm
Leeds
Club Friendlies 1
Man Utd
Jul 19, 2025 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Leeds
Club Friendlies 1 Gameweek 1
Man Utd
Jul 19, 2025 10.00am
Leeds
Club Friendlies 1
Man Utd
Jul 12, 2023 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Ullevaal Stadion
Leeds
  • Noam Emeran 67' goal
  • Joe Hugill 81' goal
Premier League Gameweek 23
Leeds
Feb 12, 2023 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Man Utd
  • goal Marcus Rashford 80'
  • goal Alejandro Garnacho 85'

Form Data

Bournemouth 2 - 2 Man Utd
Man Utd 3 - 1 Aston Villa
Newcastle 2 - 1 Man Utd
Man Utd 2 - 1 Crystal Palace
Everton 0 - 1 Man Utd
West Ham 1 - 1 Man Utd
West Ham 2 - 2 Leeds
Leeds 0 - 0 Brentford
Crystal Palace 0 - 0 Leeds
Leeds 3 - 0 Norwich
Leeds 0 - 1 Sunderland
Leeds 0 - 1 Man City

Build-up

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