Premier League Gameweek 32
Apr 13, 2026 8.00pm
Old Trafford

Manchester United vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 20, 2026 8.00pm
Bournemouth 2 - 2 Man Utd
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Matheus Cunha

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 8.00pm
Leeds 0 - 0 Brentford
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester United win with a probability of 55.07%. A draw has a probability of 24.8% and a win for Leeds United has a probability of 20.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.65%) , while for a Leeds United win it is 0-1 (6.2%).

Result

Manchester United 55.07%
Draw 24.8%
Leeds United 20.09%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.95% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.24% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 27.76% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 48.53% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 51.47% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 27.78% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 72.22% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 16.26% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 83.74% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Manchester United 37.37%
Draw 40.47%
Leeds United 22.16%

Team To Score First

Manchester United 56.09% (+0.03)
No Goal 8.37% (-0.04)
Leeds United 35.54% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 54.45% (+0.06)
Equal 8 11.01%
Under 8 34.54% (-0.06)
Over 9 43.56% (+0.06)
Equal 9 10.89%
Under 9 45.55% (-0.06)
Over 10.5 33.59% (+0.05)
Under 10.5 66.41% (-0.05)

Manchester United Goals

Over 1.5 49.34% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 50.66% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 23.17% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 76.83% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 8.82% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 91.18% (-0.02)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 53.94% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 46.06% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 22.52% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 77.48% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 7.39% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 92.61% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.15% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.85% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Manchester United 55.08%
Draw 24.81%
Leeds United 20.09%
Manchester United
1-0 @ 13.17%
2-0 @ 10.39% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.46%
3-0 @ 5.44%
3-1 @ 5.11% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.84%
Other @ 8.67% (+0.01)
Total : 55.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.65%
0-0 @ 8.37% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.68% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15% (+0.01)
Total : 24.81%
Leeds United
0-1 @ 6.2%
1-2 @ 4.96% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.65%
1-3 @ 1.75%
2-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2%
Total : 20.09%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 20
Jan 4, 2026 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Elland Road
  • Brenden Aaronson 62' goal
  • Lukas Nmecha 75' yellowcard
  • Ao Tanaka 80' yellowcard
  • Wilfried Gnonto 80' yellowcard
  • Joël Piroe 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joshua Zirkzee 63'
  • goal Matheus Cunha 65'
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 19, 2025 3.00pm
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 19, 2025 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Club Friendlies 1 Gameweek 1
Jul 19, 2025 10.00am
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 12, 2023 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Ullevaal Stadion
  • Noam Emeran 67' goal
  • Joe Hugill 81' goal
Premier League Gameweek 23
Feb 12, 2023 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Marcus Rashford 80'
  • goal Alejandro Garnacho 85'