Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-0 (9.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.