Conference League
Apr 16, 2026 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Albert Gudmundsson 30' yellowcard
  • Cher Ndour 46' yellowcard
  • Cher Ndour 53' goal
  • Eddy Kouadio 70' yellowcard
  • Luís Balbo 70' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Fabbian 75' yellowcard
  • Jacopo Fazzini 75' yellowcard
  • goal Ismaïla Sarr 17'
  • yellowcard Jefferson Lerma 30'
  • yellowcard Chadi Riad 41'
  • yellowcard Jørgen Strand Larsen 46'
  • yellowcard Will Hughes 73'

Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
Crystal Palace 3 - 0 Fiorentina

Crystal Palace

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
Crystal Palace 3 - 0 Fiorentina

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-0 (9.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result

Fiorentina 36.71%
Draw 25.95%
Crystal Palace 37.34% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.16% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.74% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 25.26% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 50.66%
Under 2.5 49.34%
Over 3.5 28.86%
Under 3.5 71.14%
Over 4.5 16.01%
Under 4.5 83.99%

First Half Winner

Fiorentina 26.83%
Draw 42.68%
Crystal Palace 30.5%

Team To Score First

Fiorentina 44% (+0.01)
No Goal 7.05% (-0.01)
Crystal Palace 48.95%

Corners

Over 8 47.07% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.66%
Under 8 41.28% (-0.02)
Over 9 36.13% (+0.03)
Equal 9 10.93%
Under 9 52.93% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 26.67% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 73.33% (-0.04)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 1.5 36.94% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 63.06% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 14.88% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 85.12% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 4.88% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.12% (-0.01)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5 70.5% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 29.5% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 37.61% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 62.39% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 15.11% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 84.89% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.04% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.96% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Fiorentina 36.7%
Draw 25.95%
Crystal Palace 37.34%
Fiorentina
1-0 @ 9.1%
2-1 @ 8.1%
2-0 @ 5.92% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.61%
3-0 @ 2.68%
3-2 @ 2.55%
Other @ 4.74%
Total : 36.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.08%
0-0 @ 7.05% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.14% (+0.02)
Total : 25.95%
Crystal Palace
0-1 @ 9.1% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.35%
0-2 @ 6.08% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.71% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.68%
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.9%
Total : 37.34%

Head to Head

Conference League
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Selhurst Park
  • Jean-Philippe Mateta 24' yellowcard
  • Tyrick Mitchell 31' goal
  • Yéremy Pino 65' yellowcard
  • Yéremy Pino 66' yellowcard
  • Jefferson Lerma 83' yellowcard
  • Jefferson Lerma 84' yellowcard
  • Ismaïla Sarr 90' goal
  • Will Hughes 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Brennan Johnson 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luís Balbo 77'
  • yellowcard Jacopo Fazzini 78'
  • yellowcard Luís Balbo 78'
  • yellowcard Pietro Comuzzo 82'
  • yellowcard Rolando Mandragora 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Giorgio Puzzoli 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Rolando Mandragora 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Nicolò Fagioli 90'+2'
  • yellowcard 90'+3'

Build-up

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