Conference League
Apr 16, 2026 8.00pm
Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
Crystal Palace 3 - 0 Fiorentina

Crystal Palace

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
Crystal Palace 3 - 0 Fiorentina

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Fiorentina has a probability of 36.51% and a draw has a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Fiorentina win is 1-0 (8.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.01%).

Result

Fiorentina 36.51%
Draw 25.9%
Crystal Palace 37.62%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.31%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.13%
Under 1.5 24.87%
Over 2.5 51.22%
Under 2.5 48.78%
Over 3.5 29.32%
Under 3.5 70.68%
Over 4.5 16.28%
Under 4.5 83.72%

First Half Winner

Fiorentina 26.35%
Draw 42.48%
Crystal Palace 31.17%

Team To Score First

Fiorentina 42.74%
No Goal 6.92%
Crystal Palace 50.34%

Corners

Over 8 48.06%
Equal 8 11.81%
Under 8 40.14%
Over 9 36.9%
Equal 9 11.16%
Under 9 51.94%
Over 10.5 27.18%
Under 10.5 72.82%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 1.5 37.17%
Under 1.5 62.83%
Over 2.5 15.14%
Under 2.5 84.86%
Over 3.5 4.95%
Under 3.5 95.05%

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5 70.94%
Under 0.5 29.06%
Over 1.5 38.1%
Under 1.5 61.9%
Over 2.5 15.37%
Under 2.5 84.63%
Over 3.5 5.12%
Under 3.5 94.88%

Score analysis

Fiorentina 36.51%
Draw 25.91%
Crystal Palace 37.6%
Fiorentina
1-0 @ 8.88%
2-1 @ 8.04%
2-0 @ 5.81%
3-1 @ 3.7%
3-0 @ 2.68%
3-2 @ 2.61%
Other @ 4.79%
Total : 36.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.01%
0-0 @ 6.92%
2-2 @ 5.62%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.91%
Crystal Palace
0-1 @ 9.09%
1-2 @ 8.4%
0-2 @ 6.1%
1-3 @ 3.71%
0-3 @ 2.78%
2-3 @ 2.56%
Other @ 4.96%
Total : 37.6%

Head to Head

Conference League
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Selhurst Park
  • Jean-Philippe Mateta 24' yellowcard
  • Tyrick Mitchell 31' goal
  • Yéremy Pino 65' yellowcard
  • Yéremy Pino 66' yellowcard
  • Jefferson Lerma 83' yellowcard
  • Jefferson Lerma 84' yellowcard
  • Ismaïla Sarr 90' goal
  • Will Hughes 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Brennan Johnson 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luís Balbo 77'
  • yellowcard Jacopo Fazzini 78'
  • yellowcard Luís Balbo 78'
  • yellowcard Pietro Comuzzo 82'
  • yellowcard Rolando Mandragora 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Giorgio Puzzoli 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Rolando Mandragora 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Nicolò Fagioli 90'+2'
  • yellowcard 90'+3'