Serie A Gameweek 32
Apr 13, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Robin Gosens 28' goal
  • Marin Pongracic 71' yellowcard
  • Luís Balbo 80' yellowcard
  • Manor Solomon 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tijjani Noslin 46'
  • yellowcard Fisayo Dele-Bashiru 46'
  • yellowcard Pedro 67'
  • yellowcard Gustav Isaksen 67'
  • yellowcard Petar Ratkov 79'

Fiorentina vs Lazio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 5.00pm
Hellas Verona 0 - 1 Fiorentina
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Moise Kean

Lazio

All competitions
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 7.45pm
Lazio 1 - 1 Parma
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Gustav Isaksen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 40.78%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 29.79% and a draw had a probability of 29.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (10.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result

Fiorentina 40.78% (-0.05)
Draw 29.43% (+0.09)
Lazio 29.79% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.98% (-0.24)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.98% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 34.02% (+0.29)
Over 2.5 39.8% (-0.36)
Under 2.5 60.2% (+0.36)
Over 3.5 19.45% (-0.29)
Under 3.5 80.55% (+0.29)
Over 4.5 9.57% (-0.17)
Under 4.5 90.43% (+0.18)

First Half Winner

Fiorentina 30.26%
Draw 46.65%
Lazio 23.09%

Team To Score First

Fiorentina 48.94% (-0.07)
No Goal 10.83% (+0.11)
Lazio 40.23% (-0.06)

Corners

Over 8 48.7% (-0.17)
Equal 8 12.78% (+0.03)
Under 8 38.52% (+0.15)
Over 9 36.59% (-0.18)
Equal 9 12.12% (+0.02)
Under 9 51.3% (+0.17)
Over 10.5 26.1% (-0.18)
Under 10.5 73.9% (+0.19)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 1.5 34.51% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 65.49% (+0.23)
Over 2.5 12.5% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 87.5% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 3.65% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 96.35% (+0.07)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5 62.01% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 37.99% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 26.42% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 73.58% (+0.21)
Over 2.5 8.32% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 91.68% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 2.06% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 97.94% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Fiorentina 40.78%
Draw 29.44%
Lazio 29.79%
Fiorentina
1-0 @ 12.91% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.52% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.63% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.31% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.08% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.55% (-0.08)
Total : 40.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.47% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 10.83% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 29.44%
Lazio
0-1 @ 10.29% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 6.9% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.06%
1-3 @ 2.22% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.96% (-0.05)
Total : 29.79%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 19
Jan 7, 2026 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 22
Jan 26, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Pedro 90' yellowcard
  • Adam Marusic 90'+2' goal
  • Marco Baroni 90'+5' redcard
  • goal Yacine Adli 11'
  • goal Lucas Beltran 17'
  • yellowcard Yacine Adli 62'
  • redcard Yacine Adli 63'
  • yellowcard Yacine Adli 63'
  • yellowcard Dodo 70'
  • yellowcard Rolando Mandragora 71'
  • yellowcard Yacine Adli 90'
  • redcard 90'+8'
Serie A Gameweek 5
Sep 22, 2024 11.30am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Comunale Gino Bozzi
  • Robin Gosens 11' yellowcard
  • Cristiano Biraghi 42' yellowcard
  • Albert Gudmundsson 49' goal
  • Albert Gudmundsson 90' goal
  • Dodo 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gustav Isaksen 26'
  • goal Mario Gila 41'
  • yellowcard Patric 85'
  • yellowcard Matteo Guendouzi 89'
  • yellowcard Nuno Tavares 89'
Serie A Gameweek 26
Feb 26, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Michael Kayode 61' goal
  • Giacomo Bonaventura 69' goal
  • goal Luis Alberto 45'
  • yellowcard Matteo Guendouzi 67'
  • yellowcard Matias Vecino 88'
Serie A Gameweek 10
Oct 30, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Manuel Lazzari 31' yellowcard
  • Nicolo Rovella 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Maurizio Sarri 60' yellowcard
  • Mattia Zaccagni 66' yellowcard
  • Ciro Immobile 90'+5' goal
  • goal Lucas Beltran 13'+13'
  • yellowcard Alfred Duncan 40'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Ikone 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Giacomo Bonaventura 55'
Serie A Gameweek 20
Jan 29, 2023 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Nicolo Casale 8' goal
  • goal Nicolas Gonzalez 49'