Serie A Gameweek 29
Mar 15, 2026 7.45pm
Stadio Olimpico

Lazio vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions
Last game
Mar 9, 2026 7.45pm
Lazio 2 - 1 Sassuolo
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Gustav Isaksen

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 7.45pm
AC Milan 1 - 0 Inter Milan
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Rafael Leao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AC Milan win with a probability of 48.96%. A draw has a probability of 27.93% and a win for Lazio has a probability of 23.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a AC Milan win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.98%) and 1-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.43%) , while for a Lazio win it is 1-0 (8.38%).

Result

Lazio 23.08%
Draw 27.93%
AC Milan 48.96%

Both Teams to Score: 

44.19%

Goals

Over 1.5 66.62%
Under 1.5 33.38%
Over 2.5 40.58%
Under 2.5 59.42%
Over 3.5 20.18%
Under 3.5 79.82%
Over 4.5 10.65%
Under 4.5 89.35%

First Half Winner

Lazio 23.13%
Draw 43.59%
AC Milan 33.28%

Team To Score First

Lazio 35.99%
No Goal 10.64%
AC Milan 53.37%

Corners

Over 8 51.42%
Equal 8 12.47%
Under 8 36.11%
Over 9 39.33%
Equal 9 12.09%
Under 9 48.58%
Over 10.5 28.62%
Under 10.5 71.38%

Lazio Goals

Over 1.5 21.43%
Under 1.5 78.57%
Over 2.5 6.26%
Under 2.5 93.74%
Over 3.5 1.49%
Under 3.5 98.51%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 74.7%
Under 0.5 25.3%
Over 1.5 40.67%
Under 1.5 59.33%
Over 2.5 16.49%
Under 2.5 83.51%
Over 3.5 5.56%
Under 3.5 94.44%

Score analysis

Lazio 23.09%
Draw 27.93%
AC Milan 48.96%
Lazio
1-0 @ 8.38%
2-1 @ 5.59%
2-0 @ 3.63%
3-1 @ 1.67%
3-0 @ 1.25%
3-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 23.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.43%
0-0 @ 10.64%
2-2 @ 4.09%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 27.93%
AC Milan
0-1 @ 14.34%
0-2 @ 9.98%
1-2 @ 8.92%
0-3 @ 4.63%
1-3 @ 3.78%
2-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 5.45%
Total : 48.96%

Head to Head

Coppa Italia
Dec 4, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mattia Zaccagni 80' goal
  • yellowcard Strahinja Pavlovic 2'
  • yellowcard Koni De Winter 84'
Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Nov 29, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Fikayo Tomori 26' yellowcard
  • Rafael Leao 51' goal
  • Matteo Gabbia 64' yellowcard
  • Samuele Ricci 89' yellowcard
  • Massimiliano Allegri 90'+7' redcard
  • Massimiliano Allegri 90'+9' redcard
  • yellowcard Luca Pellegrini 57'
  • yellowcard Alessio Romagnoli 72'
  • yellowcard Mattia Zaccagni 90'+13'
  • yellowcard Mattia Zaccagni 90'+14'
Serie A Gameweek 27
Mar 2, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Strahinja Pavlovic 67' redcard
  • Santiago Gimenez 76' yellowcard
  • Rafael Leao 80' yellowcard
  • Samuel Chukwueze 84' goal
  • goal Mattia Zaccagni 28'
  • yellowcard Matias Vecino 90'+2'
  • goal Pedro 90'+8'
Serie A Gameweek 3
Aug 31, 2024 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Nicolo Rovella 39' yellowcard
  • Valentin Castellanos 62' goal
  • Mattia Zaccagni 64' yellowcard
  • Boulaye Dia 66' goal
  • Patric 85' yellowcard
  • Matteo Guendouzi 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Strahinja Pavlovic 8'
  • yellowcard Youssouf Fofana 20'
  • goal Rafael Leao 72'
  • yellowcard Filippo Terracciano 90'+1'
Serie A Gameweek 27
Mar 1, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Maurizio Sarri 22' yellowcard
  • Luca Pellegrini 50' yellowcard
  • Luca Pellegrini 57' redcard
  • Alessio Romagnoli 58' yellowcard
  • Ciro Immobile 76' yellowcard
  • Elseid Hysaj 90' yellowcard
  • Adam Marusic 90'+4' redcard
  • Matteo Guendouzi 90'+6' redcard
  • yellowcard Alessandro Florenzi 61'
  • yellowcard Yacine Adli 70'
  • goal Rafael Leao 76'
  • yellowcard Matteo Gabbia 80'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 84'
  • goal Noah Okafor 88'
  • yellowcard Rafael Leao 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Christian Pulisic 90'+6'
Serie A Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Christian Pulisic 60' goal
  • Rafael Leao 65' yellowcard
  • Theo Hernandez 83' yellowcard
  • Mike Maignan 86' yellowcard
  • Noah Okafor 88' goal
  • yellowcard Adam Marusic 51'
  • yellowcard Alessio Romagnoli 64'