Serie A Gameweek 29
Lazio
Mar 15, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
AC Milan
  • Gustav Isaksen 26' goal
  • Boulaye Dia 67' yellowcard
  • Pedro 67' yellowcard
  • Pedro 68' yellowcard
  • Matteo Cancellieri 83' yellowcard
  • Reda Belahyane 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zachary Athekame 57'
  • yellowcard Davide Bartesaghi 57'
  • yellowcard Davide Bartesaghi 58'
  • yellowcard Niclas Füllkrug 67'
  • yellowcard Christopher Nkunku 67'
  • yellowcard Samuele Ricci 84'

Lazio vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions
Last game
Mar 9, 2026 7.45pm
Lazio 2 - 1 Sassuolo
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Gustav Isaksen

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 7.45pm
AC Milan 1 - 0 Inter Milan
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Rafael Leao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 49.02%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 23.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.96%) and 1-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%) , while for a Lazio win it was 1-0 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result

Lazio 23.08% ▼ (-0.05)
Draw 27.9%
AC Milan 49.02% ▲ (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.38% ▲ (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.82% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 33.18% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 40.75% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 59.25% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 20.33% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 79.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 10.71% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 89.29% ▼ (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Lazio 23.14%
Draw 43.58%
AC Milan 33.28%

Team To Score First

Lazio 36.35% ▲ (+0.03)
No Goal 10.52% ▼ (-0.05)
AC Milan 53.13% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 51.08% ▼ (-0.33)
Equal 8 12.45% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 8 36.47% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 9 39.04% ▼ (-0.29)
Equal 9 12.04% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 9 48.92% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 10.5 28.39% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 10.5 71.61% ▲ (+0.22)

Lazio Goals

Over 1.5 21.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 78.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 6.29% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 93.71% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 1.5% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.5% ▼ (-0.02)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 74.86% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 25.14% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 40.84% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 1.5 59.16% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 2.5 16.59% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 83.41% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 5.59%
Under 3.5 94.41%

Score analysis

Lazio 23.08%
Draw 27.91%
AC Milan 49.02%
Lazio
1-0 @ 8.37%
2-1 @ 5.58% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.68%
3-0 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 23.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.46% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 10.52% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.14% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 27.91%
AC Milan
0-1 @ 14.3% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 9.96% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 8.96% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.47% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 49.02%

Head to Head

Coppa Italia
Lazio
Dec 4, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
AC Milan
  • Mattia Zaccagni 80' goal
  • yellowcard Strahinja Pavlovic 2'
  • yellowcard Koni De Winter 84'
Serie A European Under-21s Championship
AC Milan
Nov 29, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Lazio
  • Fikayo Tomori 26' yellowcard
  • Rafael Leao 51' goal
  • Matteo Gabbia 64' yellowcard
  • Samuele Ricci 89' yellowcard
  • Massimiliano Allegri 90'+7' redcard
  • Massimiliano Allegri 90'+9' redcard
  • yellowcard Luca Pellegrini 57'
  • yellowcard Alessio Romagnoli 72'
  • yellowcard Mattia Zaccagni 90'+13'
  • yellowcard Mattia Zaccagni 90'+14'
Serie A Gameweek 27
AC Milan
Mar 2, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Lazio
  • Strahinja Pavlovic 67' redcard
  • Santiago Gimenez 76' yellowcard
  • Rafael Leao 80' yellowcard
  • Samuel Chukwueze 84' goal
  • goal Mattia Zaccagni 28'
  • yellowcard Matias Vecino 90'+2'
  • goal Pedro 90'+8'
Serie A Gameweek 3
Lazio
Aug 31, 2024 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
AC Milan
  • Nicolo Rovella 39' yellowcard
  • Valentin Castellanos 62' goal
  • Mattia Zaccagni 64' yellowcard
  • Boulaye Dia 66' goal
  • Patric 85' yellowcard
  • Matteo Guendouzi 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Strahinja Pavlovic 8'
  • yellowcard Youssouf Fofana 20'
  • goal Rafael Leao 72'
  • yellowcard Filippo Terracciano 90'+1'
Serie A Gameweek 27
Lazio
Mar 1, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
AC Milan
  • Maurizio Sarri 22' yellowcard
  • Luca Pellegrini 50' yellowcard
  • Luca Pellegrini 57' redcard
  • Alessio Romagnoli 58' yellowcard
  • Ciro Immobile 76' yellowcard
  • Elseid Hysaj 90' yellowcard
  • Adam Marusic 90'+4' redcard
  • Matteo Guendouzi 90'+6' redcard
  • yellowcard Alessandro Florenzi 61'
  • yellowcard Yacine Adli 70'
  • goal Rafael Leao 76'
  • yellowcard Matteo Gabbia 80'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 84'
  • goal Noah Okafor 88'
  • yellowcard Rafael Leao 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Christian Pulisic 90'+6'
Serie A Gameweek 7
AC Milan
Sep 30, 2023 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Lazio
  • Christian Pulisic 60' goal
  • Rafael Leao 65' yellowcard
  • Theo Hernandez 83' yellowcard
  • Mike Maignan 86' yellowcard
  • Noah Okafor 88' goal
  • yellowcard Adam Marusic 51'
  • yellowcard Alessio Romagnoli 64'

Form Data

Lazio 2 - 1 Sassuolo
Lazio 2 - 2 Atalanta
Torino 2 - 0 Lazio
Cagliari 0 - 0 Lazio
Lazio 0 - 2 Atalanta
Bologna 1 - 1 Lazio
AC Milan 1 - 0 Inter Milan
Cremonese 0 - 2 AC Milan
AC Milan 0 - 1 Parma
AC Milan 1 - 1 Como
Pisa 1 - 2 AC Milan
Bologna 0 - 3 AC Milan