Serie A Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2026 7.45pm
Stadio Olimpico

Lazio vs Sassuolo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 5.00pm
Torino 2 - 0 Lazio
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Gustav Isaksen

Sassuolo

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 2.00pm
Sassuolo 2 - 1 Atalanta
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Ismael Kone

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lazio win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for Sassuolo has a probability of 34.69% and a draw has a probability of 27.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Sassuolo win is 0-1 (9.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.16%).

Result

Lazio 37.49% (-0.86)
Draw 27.86% (+0.38)
Sassuolo 34.69% (+0.51)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.95% (-0.75)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.33% (-0.99)
Under 1.5 28.67% (+0.99)
Over 2.5 45.81% (-1.43)
Under 2.5 54.19% (+1.43)
Over 3.5 23.93% (-1.22)
Under 3.5 76.07% (+1.22)
Over 4.5 12.25% (-0.87)
Under 4.5 87.75% (+0.88)

First Half Winner

Lazio 27.88% (-0.79)
Draw 46.02% (+0.53)
Sassuolo 26.1% (+0.27)

Team To Score First

Lazio 47.72% (+0.02)
No Goal 8.4% (+0.40)
Sassuolo 43.88% (-0.41)

Corners

Over 8 48.25% (-2.65)
Equal 8 12.36% (+0.19)
Under 8 39.39% (+2.47)
Over 9 36.56% (-2.60)
Equal 9 11.69% (-0.07)
Under 9 51.75% (+2.65)
Over 10.5 26.42% (-2.33)
Under 10.5 73.58% (+2.33)

Lazio Goals

Over 1.5 35.33% (-1.43)
Under 1.5 64.67% (+1.43)
Over 2.5 13.11% (-0.96)
Under 2.5 86.89% (+0.96)
Over 3.5 3.91% (-0.44)
Under 3.5 96.09% (+0.44)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5 68.03% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 31.97% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 33.22% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 66.78% (+0.29)
Over 2.5 11.78% (-0.34)
Under 2.5 88.22% (+0.35)
Over 3.5 3.42% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 96.58% (+0.18)

Score analysis

Lazio 37.49%
Draw 27.86%
Sassuolo 34.68%
Lazio
1-0 @ 10.46% (+0.23)
2-1 @ 8.43% (-0.22)
2-0 @ 6.49% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.38% (-0.21)
3-0 @ 2.82% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.11)
Other @ 3.83% (-0.41)
Total : 37.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.16% (+0.26)
0-0 @ 8.4% (+0.40)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.13)
Other @ 0.08% (-0.04)
Total : 27.86%
Sassuolo
0-1 @ 9.84% (+0.40)
1-2 @ 8.19% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 5.87% (+0.25)
1-3 @ 3% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.44% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.09)
Other @ 3.34% (-0.14)
Total : 34.68%

Head to Head

Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Sep 14, 2025 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 38
May 26, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Mattia Zaccagni 60' goal
  • Daichi Kamada 65' yellowcard
  • Matteo Guendouzi 82' yellowcard
  • Mattia Zaccagni 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cristian Volpato 19'
  • goal Mattia Viti 66'
Serie A Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT MAPEI Stadium - Citta del Tricolore
  • Marcus Holmgren Pedersen 31' yellowcard
  • goal Felipe Anderson 28'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Rovella 32'
  • goal Luis Alberto 35'
  • yellowcard Pedro 44'
  • yellowcard Ciro Immobile 63'
  • yellowcard Luis Alberto 75'
  • yellowcard Danilo Cataldi 77'
Serie A Gameweek 33
May 3, 2023 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Felipe Anderson 14' goal
  • Toma Basic 90'+2' goal
Serie A Gameweek 18
Jan 15, 2023 11.30am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
  • goal Mattia Zaccagni 45'+3'
  • goal Felipe Anderson 90'+4'
Serie A Gameweek 31
Apr 2, 2022 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Felipe Anderson 7' yellowcard
  • Manuel Lazzari 17' goal
  • Sergej Milinkovic-Savic 51' goal
  • yellowcard Giorgos Kiriakopoulos 5'
  • yellowcard Davide Frattesi 32'
  • yellowcard Abdou Harroui 84'
  • goal Hamed Traore 90'+4'