Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 42.47%. A draw had a probability of 29.28% and a win for Torino had a probability of 28.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%) , while for a Torino win it was 1-0 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.