Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 0-1 (8.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.