Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 44.07%. A draw had a probability of 29.17% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 26.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.29%) , while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.