Europa League
Mar 19, 2026 8.00pm
3
4
ET Stadio Olimpico
  • Lorenzo Pellegrini 20' yellowcard
  • Evan Ndicka 32' goal
  • Robinio Vaz 57' yellowcard
  • Donyell Malen 69' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Pellegrini 80' goal
  • Neil El Aynaoui 104' yellowcard
  • Neil El Aynaoui 105' yellowcard
  • Bryan Zaragoza 109' yellowcard
  • goal Jonathan Rowe 22'
  • yellowcard Federico Bernardeschi 45'+2'
  • goal Santiago Castro 58'
  • yellowcard Nicolò Cambiaghi 73'
  • yellowcard Nicolò Casale 73'
  • yellowcard Thijs Dallinga 73'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Orsolini 79'
  • yellowcard Nikola Moro 91'
  • goal Nicolò Cambiaghi 111'
  • yellowcard Torbjørn Heggem 114'

Roma vs Bologna - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Mar 12, 2026 5.45pm
Bologna 1 - 1 Roma

Bologna

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Mar 12, 2026 5.45pm
Bologna 1 - 1 Roma

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (7.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%).

Result

Roma 45.09%
Draw 25.68%
Bologna 29.24%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.71% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.58% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 24.42% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 51.92%
Under 2.5 48.08%
Over 3.5 29.58%
Under 3.5 70.42%
Over 4.5 16.99% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 83.01% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Roma 32.68%
Draw 42.75%
Bologna 24.57%

Team To Score First

Roma 52.8%
No Goal 6.95% (+0.01)
Bologna 40.25% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 48.93% (+0.11)
Equal 8 12.1% (-0.07)
Under 8 38.96% (-0.07)
Over 9 37.42% (+0.15)
Equal 9 11.51% (-0.05)
Under 9 51.07% (-0.11)
Over 10.5 27.36% (+0.17)
Under 10.5 72.64% (-0.16)

Roma Goals

Over 1.5 44.19% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 55.81% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 19.95% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 80.05% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.46% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 92.54% (+0.02)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5 64.53% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 35.47% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 31.28% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 68.72% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 11.59% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 88.41% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.58%
Under 3.5 96.42%

Score analysis

Roma 45.08%
Draw 25.68%
Bologna 29.23%
Roma
1-0 @ 9.87%
2-1 @ 9.28%
2-0 @ 7.39%
3-1 @ 4.48%
3-0 @ 4%
3-2 @ 2.81%
Other @ 7.25% (-0.01)
Total : 45.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.9% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.95% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.42% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 25.68%
Bologna
0-1 @ 7.59%
1-2 @ 7.08%
0-2 @ 4.38%
1-3 @ 2.69%
2-3 @ 2.15%
0-3 @ 1.97% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 29.23%

Head to Head

Europa League
Mar 12, 2026 5.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
  • Federico Bernardeschi 50' goal
  • Nicolò Cambiaghi 71' yellowcard
  • Thijs Dallinga 79' yellowcard
  • Charalampos Lykogiannis 79' yellowcard
  • Martin Vitík 84' yellowcard
  • Martin Vitík 85' yellowcard
  • Nadir Zortea 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robinio Vaz 46'
  • yellowcard Konstantinos Tsimikas 58'
  • yellowcard Mario Hermoso 65'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Pellegrini 66'
  • goal Lorenzo Pellegrini 71'
Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Aug 23, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 20
Jan 12, 2025 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
  • Juan Miranda 32' yellowcard
  • Thijs Dallinga 61' goal
  • Lewis Ferguson 65' goal
  • Emil Holm 70' yellowcard
  • Thijs Dallinga 77' yellowcard
  • Jhon Lucumi 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Alexis Saelemaekers 58'
  • yellowcard Gianluca Mancini 90'+4'
  • goal Artem Dovbyk 90'+8'
Serie A Gameweek 12
Nov 10, 2024 2.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Stephan El Shaarawy 63' goal
  • Stephan El Shaarawy 82' goal
  • Gianluca Mancini 87' yellowcard
  • Stephan El Shaarawy 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Santiago Castro 25'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo De Silvestri 45'
  • goal Riccardo Orsolini 66'
  • yellowcard Juan Miranda 68'
  • goal Jesper Karlsson 77'
  • yellowcard Jesper Karlsson 87'
Serie A Gameweek 33
Apr 22, 2024 5.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Leandro Paredes 6' yellowcard
  • Angelino 13' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Pellegrini 33' yellowcard
  • Stephan El Shaarawy 40' yellowcard
  • Sardar Azmoun 55' goal
  • Remo Freuler 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joshua Zirkzee 6'
  • goal Oussama El Azzouzi 14'
  • goal Joshua Zirkzee 45'
  • yellowcard Diego Llorente 63'
  • goal Alexis Saelemaekers 65'
Serie A Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
  • Alexis Saelemaekers 9' yellowcard
  • Sam Beukema 33' yellowcard
  • Nikola Moro 37' goal
  • Lewis Ferguson 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Rasmus Kristensen 49' goal
  • Remo Freuler 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diego Llorente 9'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Pellegrini 36'
  • yellowcard Leandro Paredes 66'
  • yellowcard Edoardo Bove 72'