Europa League
Mar 19, 2026 8.00pm
Stadio Olimpico

Roma vs Bologna - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Mar 12, 2026 5.45pm
Bologna 1 - 1 Roma

Bologna

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Mar 12, 2026 5.45pm
Bologna 1 - 1 Roma

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Roma win with a probability of 45.33%. A win for Bologna has a probability of 29.01% and a draw has a probability of 25.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Bologna win is 0-1 (7.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.93%).

Result

Roma 45.33% (+0.04)
Draw 25.66%
Bologna 29.01% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.05% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.36% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 24.64% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 51.58% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 48.42% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 29.38% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 70.62% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 16.79% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 83.21% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Roma 32.02%
Draw 43.32%
Bologna 24.65%

Team To Score First

Roma 52.5%
No Goal 6.92% (+0.01)
Bologna 40.58% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 46.66%
Equal 8 12.38%
Under 8 40.95%
Over 9 35.1%
Equal 9 11.56%
Under 9 53.34%
Over 10.5 25.18%
Under 10.5 74.82%

Roma Goals

Over 1.5 44.18% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 55.82% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 19.91% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 80.09% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.39%
Under 3.5 92.61%

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5 64.41% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 35.59% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 31.01% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 68.99% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 11.34% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 88.66% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.48% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.52% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Roma 45.32%
Draw 25.67%
Bologna 29.02%
Roma
1-0 @ 10.08% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.3%
2-0 @ 7.43% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.52%
3-0 @ 3.99% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.02)
Other @ 7.18%
Total : 45.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.93% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.92% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 25.67%
Bologna
0-1 @ 7.65% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.01% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.42%
1-3 @ 2.65% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.12%
0-3 @ 1.9%
Other @ 3.27% (-0.03)
Total : 29.02%

Head to Head

Europa League
Mar 12, 2026 5.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
  • Federico Bernardeschi 50' goal
  • Nicolò Cambiaghi 71' yellowcard
  • Thijs Dallinga 79' yellowcard
  • Charalampos Lykogiannis 79' yellowcard
  • Martin Vitík 84' yellowcard
  • Martin Vitík 85' yellowcard
  • Nadir Zortea 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robinio Vaz 46'
  • yellowcard Konstantinos Tsimikas 58'
  • yellowcard Mario Hermoso 65'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Pellegrini 66'
  • goal Lorenzo Pellegrini 71'
Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Aug 23, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 20
Jan 12, 2025 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
  • Juan Miranda 32' yellowcard
  • Thijs Dallinga 61' goal
  • Lewis Ferguson 65' goal
  • Emil Holm 70' yellowcard
  • Thijs Dallinga 77' yellowcard
  • Jhon Lucumi 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Alexis Saelemaekers 58'
  • yellowcard Gianluca Mancini 90'+4'
  • goal Artem Dovbyk 90'+8'
Serie A Gameweek 12
Nov 10, 2024 2.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Stephan El Shaarawy 63' goal
  • Stephan El Shaarawy 82' goal
  • Gianluca Mancini 87' yellowcard
  • Stephan El Shaarawy 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Santiago Castro 25'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo De Silvestri 45'
  • goal Riccardo Orsolini 66'
  • yellowcard Juan Miranda 68'
  • goal Jesper Karlsson 77'
  • yellowcard Jesper Karlsson 87'
Serie A Gameweek 33
Apr 22, 2024 5.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Leandro Paredes 6' yellowcard
  • Angelino 13' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Pellegrini 33' yellowcard
  • Stephan El Shaarawy 40' yellowcard
  • Sardar Azmoun 55' goal
  • Remo Freuler 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joshua Zirkzee 6'
  • goal Oussama El Azzouzi 14'
  • goal Joshua Zirkzee 45'
  • yellowcard Diego Llorente 63'
  • goal Alexis Saelemaekers 65'
Serie A Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
  • Alexis Saelemaekers 9' yellowcard
  • Sam Beukema 33' yellowcard
  • Nikola Moro 37' goal
  • Lewis Ferguson 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Rasmus Kristensen 49' goal
  • Remo Freuler 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diego Llorente 9'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Pellegrini 36'
  • yellowcard Leandro Paredes 66'
  • yellowcard Edoardo Bove 72'