Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 58.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.95% and a win for Pisa had a probability of 18.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.68%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%) , while for a Pisa win it was 1-0 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.