Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 48.53%. A win for SK Brann had a probability of 25.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest SK Brann win was 0-1 (7.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.