Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SK Brann win with a probability of 53.86%. A win for Sotra had a probability of 23.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a SK Brann win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Sotra win was 1-2 (5.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.