Europa League
Jan 29, 2026 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Merkur Arena
  • Seedy Jatta 66' yellowcard
  • Belmin Beganovic 78' yellowcard
  • Jeyland Mitchell 78' yellowcard
  • Filip Kucharczyk 78' yellowcard
  • Filip Rózga 78' yellowcard
  • Otar Kiteishvili 85' goal
  • Niklas Geyrhofer 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vetle Dragsnes 77'
  • yellowcard V. Dragsnes 77'
  • yellowcard Bard Finne 81'
  • yellowcard Bård Finne 81'
  • yellowcard Mads Sande 82'

Sturm Graz vs SK Brann - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Last game
Jan 22, 2026 5.45pm
Feyenoord 3 - 0 Sturm Graz

SK Brann

All competitions
Last game
Jan 22, 2026 5.45pm
Brann 3 - 3 Midtjylland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for SK Brann had a probability of 36.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest SK Brann win was 1-2 (8.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result

Sturm Graz 40.02% (+0.09)
Draw 23.25% (-0.04)
SK Brann 36.73% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.3% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.37% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 19.63% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 58.98% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 40.98% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 36.31% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 63.69% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 21.69% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 78.31% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Sturm Graz 33.29%
Draw 36.15%
SK Brann 30.56%

Team To Score First

Sturm Graz 48.54% (+0.04)
No Goal 5.15% (-0.01)
SK Brann 46.31% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 62.78% (+0.06)
Equal 8 10.5%
Under 8 26.72% (-0.06)
Over 9 51.66% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.12% (+0.01)
Under 9 37.22% (-0.06)
Over 10.5 40.81% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 59.19% (-0.04)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 1.5 42.77% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 57.23% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 19.96% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 80.04% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 7.47% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.53% (-0.02)

SK Brann Goals

Over 0.5 70.73% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 29.27% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 40.76% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 59.24% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 18.22%
Under 2.5 81.78%
Over 3.5 7.07% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 92.93% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Sturm Graz 40.02%
Draw 23.24%
SK Brann 36.74%
Sturm Graz
2-1 @ 8.29% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.65% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.78% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.46% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.4% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.15% (+0.03)
Other @ 7.29% (+0.01)
Total : 40.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.39%
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 5.15% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.48% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.24%
SK Brann
1-2 @ 8.13% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.83% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.22% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.12%
0-3 @ 2.85% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.01)
Other @ 6.89% (+0.01)
Total : 36.74%