Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for SK Brann had a probability of 36.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest SK Brann win was 1-2 (8.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.