Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Haugesund win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Sotra had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Haugesund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Sotra win was 1-2 (7.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.