Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 45.95%. A draw had a probability of 28.27% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 25.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.2%) , while for a Genoa win it was 1-0 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.