Serie A Gameweek 28
Mar 8, 2026 5.00pm
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa vs Roma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 7.45pm
Inter Milan 2 - 0 Genoa
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Lorenzo Colombo

Roma

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 7.45pm
Roma 3 - 3 Juventus
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Donyell Malen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Roma win with a probability of 45.99%. A draw has a probability of 28.24% and a win for Genoa has a probability of 25.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.2%) , while for a Genoa win it is 1-0 (9.07%).

Result

Genoa 25.78% (+0.05)
Draw 28.24%
Roma 45.99% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.46% (+0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.33% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 31.67% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 41.92% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 58.08% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 21.28% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 78.72% (-0.15)
Over 4.5 10.81% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 89.19% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Genoa 23.9%
Draw 44.56%
Roma 31.54%

Team To Score First

Genoa 36.19% (+0.02)
No Goal 9.7% (-0.06)
Roma 54.11% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 42.71%
Equal 8 12.48%
Under 8 44.81%
Over 9 31.43%
Equal 9 11.28%
Under 9 57.29%
Over 10.5 22.06%
Under 10.5 77.94%

Genoa Goals

Over 1.5 24.16% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 75.84% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 6.83% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 93.17% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 1.66% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 98.34% (-0.04)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 73.93% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 26.07% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 39.7% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 60.3% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 15.88% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 84.12% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.13% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 94.87% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Genoa 25.78%
Draw 28.23%
Roma 45.98%
Genoa
1-0 @ 9.07% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 6.24%
2-0 @ 4.38% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.9% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.31%
3-2 @ 1.28% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.6% (+0.03)
Total : 25.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.2%
0-0 @ 9.7% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.59% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.06% (+0.01)
Total : 28.23%
Roma
0-1 @ 12.89% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 9.12%
0-2 @ 8.83% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.98% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.97% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.12% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.07% (+0.03)
Total : 45.98%

Head to Head

Serie A
Dec 29, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Matias Soule 14' goal
  • Kouadio Kone 19' goal
  • Evan Ferguson 31' goal
  • yellowcard Morten Frendrup 50'
  • goal Jeff Ekhator 87'
Serie A Gameweek 21
Jan 17, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Artem Dovbyk 25' goal
  • Leandro Paredes 56' yellowcard
  • Stephan El Shaarawy 60' goal
  • Nicola Leali 73' goal
  • yellowcard Johan Vasquez 18'
  • goal Patrizio Masini 33'
Serie A Gameweek 4
Sep 15, 2024 11.30am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
  • Koni De Winter 70' yellowcard
  • Alberto Gilardino 71' yellowcard
  • Koni De Winter 90'+6' goal
  • goal Artem Dovbyk 37'
  • yellowcard Niccolo Pisilli 45'
  • yellowcard Daniele De Rossi 55'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Pellegrini 64'
  • yellowcard Eldor Shomurodov 90'+1'
  • redcard Daniele De Rossi 90'+5'
Serie A Gameweek 37
May 19, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Leandro Paredes 72' yellowcard
  • Leandro Paredes 72' redcard
  • Romelu Lukaku 79' goal
  • Romelu Lukaku 82' yellowcard
Serie A Gameweek 6
Sep 28, 2023 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Stadio Comunale
  • Albert Gudmundsson 5' goal
  • Kevin Strootman 26' yellowcard
  • Stefano Sabelli 37' yellowcard
  • Mateo Retegui 45' goal
  • Mateo Retegui 65' yellowcard
  • Morten Thorsby 74' goal
  • Mattia Bani 75' yellowcard
  • Junior Messias 81' goal
  • goal Bryan Cristante 22'
  • yellowcard Gianluca Mancini 42'
  • yellowcard Leandro Paredes 75'
  • yellowcard Houssem Aouar 89'
Coppa Italia
Jan 12, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Paulo Dybala 64' goal