Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Roma had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 29.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (10.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.