Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 48.44%. A draw had a probability of 26.95% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 24.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%) , while for a Cagliari win it was 1-0 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.