Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 63.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 13.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.45%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%) , while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.