Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Roma had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (10.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.