Conference League
May 7, 2026 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Selhurst Park
  • Pedro Henrique 25' goal
  • Ismaïla Sarr 52' goal
  • Jørgen Strand Larsen 66' yellowcard
  • Brennan Johnson 78' yellowcard
  • Jefferson Lerma 88' yellowcard
  • Nathaniel Clyne 89' yellowcard
  • Will Hughes 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alaa Ghram 27'
  • goal Eguinaldo 34'
  • yellowcard Isaque 46'
  • yellowcard Newerton 56'
  • yellowcard Lassina Traoré 56'
  • yellowcard Lassina Traoré 57'
  • yellowcard Lucas Ferreira 75'

Crystal Palace vs Shakhtar Donetsk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Crystal Palace

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Apr 30, 2026 8.00pm
Shakhtar 1 - 3 Crystal Palace

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Apr 30, 2026 8.00pm
Shakhtar 1 - 3 Crystal Palace

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.74%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-0 (11.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result

Crystal Palace 34.95% (-0.03)
Draw 26.53% (-0.01)
Shakhtar Donetsk 38.49% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.78% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.14% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 31.86% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 42.81% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 57.19% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 22.38% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 77.62% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 12.33% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 87.67% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Crystal Palace 22.33% (-0.08)
Draw 45.24% (-0.04)
Shakhtar Donetsk 32.44% (+0.12)

Team To Score First

Crystal Palace 38.29% (-0.04)
No Goal 9.77% (-0.05)
Shakhtar Donetsk 51.94% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 42.21% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.87%
Under 8 45.92%
Over 9 31.51% (-0.01)
Equal 9 10.7%
Under 9 57.79% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 22.61%
Under 10.5 77.39%

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 1.5 30.58% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 69.42% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 10.8% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 89.2% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.12% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.88% (-0.02)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5 66.47% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 33.53% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 33.78% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 66.22% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 14.05% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 85.95% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.99% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 95.01% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Crystal Palace 34.96%
Draw 26.52%
Shakhtar Donetsk 38.5%
Crystal Palace
1-0 @ 11.11% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.93%
2-0 @ 6.81% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.74% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.73%
3-2 @ 1.56%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 34.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.07% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.77% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 3.99% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.04% (+0.02)
Total : 26.52%
Shakhtar Donetsk
0-1 @ 10.96%
1-2 @ 7.74% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.44% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.34%
0-3 @ 3.02% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.05%
Other @ 4.95% (+0.03)
Total : 38.5%

Head to Head

Conference League
Apr 30, 2026 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana
  • Oleg Ocheretko 47' goal
  • Isaque 65' yellowcard
  • Artem Bondarenko 74' yellowcard
  • Newerton 74' yellowcard
  • Yegor Nazaryna 83' yellowcard
  • Lassina Traoré 83' yellowcard
  • goal Ismaïla Sarr 1'
  • goal Daichi Kamada 58'
  • yellowcard Jørgen Strand Larsen 65'
  • yellowcard 65'
  • yellowcard Brennan Johnson 73'
  • goal Jørgen Strand Larsen 84'
  • yellowcard Jefferson Lerma 90'