Conference League
Apr 16, 2026 5.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Isak Jensen 46' yellowcard
  • Ayoub Oufkir 46' yellowcard
  • Bendegúz Kovács 63' yellowcard
  • Rio Robbemond 63' yellowcard
  • Isak Jensen 73' goal
  • Matej Sin 80' goal
  • Mathijs Menu 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Alisson 58'
  • yellowcard Marlon Gomes 61'
  • yellowcard Eguinaldo 61'
  • yellowcard Lucas Ferreira 70'
  • yellowcard Luca Meirelles 70'
  • goal Luca Meirelles 83'
  • yellowcard Artem Bondarenko 89'

AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
Shakhtar 3 - 0 AZ

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
Shakhtar 3 - 0 AZ

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 (6.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result

AZ Alkmaar 48.45% (-0.41)
Draw 24.92%
Shakhtar Donetsk 26.63% (+0.44)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.8% (+0.54)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.17% (+0.91)
Under 1.5 24.83% (-0.91)
Over 2.5 51.04% (+0.93)
Under 2.5 48.96% (-0.93)
Over 3.5 28.74% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 71.26% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 16.68% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 83.32% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

AZ Alkmaar 35.1% (-0.16)
Draw 39.07% (-0.08)
Shakhtar Donetsk 25.83% (+0.23)

Team To Score First

AZ Alkmaar 52.2% (-0.31)
No Goal 7.02% (-0.19)
Shakhtar Donetsk 40.78% (+0.50)

Corners

Over 8 52.42% (+1.81)
Equal 8 11.27% (+0.18)
Under 8 36.31% (-1.99)
Over 9 41.4% (+1.50)
Equal 9 11.02% (+0.31)
Under 9 47.58% (-1.81)
Over 10.5 31.46% (+1.14)
Under 10.5 68.54% (-1.13)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 1.5 45.93% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 54.07% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 20.85% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 79.15% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 7.92% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 92.08% (+0.07)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5 60.83% (+0.68)
Under 0.5 39.17% (-0.68)
Over 1.5 28.63% (+0.79)
Under 1.5 71.37% (-0.79)
Over 2.5 10.54% (+0.36)
Under 2.5 89.46% (-0.36)
Over 3.5 3.41% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 96.59% (-0.10)

Score analysis

AZ Alkmaar 48.45%
Draw 24.93%
Shakhtar Donetsk 26.64%
AZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 10.89% (-0.42)
2-1 @ 9.28% (+0.19)
2-0 @ 8.66% (-0.13)
3-0 @ 4.88% (+0.17)
3-1 @ 4.48% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.05)
Other @ 7.74% (-0.05)
Total : 48.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.5% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 7.02% (-0.19)
2-2 @ 5.18% (+0.14)
3-3 @ 1.05% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.18% (-0.03)
Total : 24.93%
Shakhtar Donetsk
0-1 @ 6.94% (-0.23)
1-2 @ 6.43% (+0.30)
0-2 @ 3.96% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.41% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.96%
0-3 @ 1.71% (+0.20)
Other @ 3.23% (+0.11)
Total : 26.64%

Head to Head

Conference League
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana
  • Artem Bondarenko 24' yellowcard
  • Pedrinho 72' goal
  • 74' yellowcard
  • 74' yellowcard
  • Lassina Traoré 74' yellowcard
  • Eguinaldo 74' yellowcard
  • Alisson 81' goal
  • Alisson 83' goal
  • Yegor Nazaryna 89' yellowcard
  • Yukhym Konoplya 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Elijah Dijkstra 46'
  • yellowcard Ro-Zangelo Daal 55'
  • yellowcard Ayoub Oufkir 73'
  • yellowcard Ayoub Oufkir 74'
  • yellowcard 74'
  • yellowcard Mexx Meerdink 74'
  • yellowcard 75'