Conference League
Apr 16, 2026 5.45pm
AFAS Stadion

AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
Shakhtar 3 - 0 AZ

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
Shakhtar 3 - 0 AZ

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 48.72%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk has a probability of 26.28% and a draw has a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win is 0-1 (7.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.55%).

Result

AZ Alkmaar 48.72%
Draw 25%
Shakhtar Donetsk 26.28%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.93%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.68%
Under 1.5 25.32%
Over 2.5 50.66%
Under 2.5 49.34%
Over 3.5 28.88%
Under 3.5 71.12%
Over 4.5 16.93%
Under 4.5 83.07%

First Half Winner

AZ Alkmaar 34.84%
Draw 39.43%
Shakhtar Donetsk 25.73%

Team To Score First

AZ Alkmaar 52.13%
No Goal 7.19%
Shakhtar Donetsk 40.68%

Corners

Over 8 48.4%
Equal 8 11.25%
Under 8 40.34%
Over 9 37.73%
Equal 9 10.67%
Under 9 51.6%
Over 10.5 28.36%
Under 10.5 71.64%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 1.5 45.98%
Under 1.5 54.02%
Over 2.5 21.1%
Under 2.5 78.9%
Over 3.5 8.22%
Under 3.5 91.78%

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5 60.41%
Under 0.5 39.59%
Over 1.5 27.98%
Under 1.5 72.02%
Over 2.5 10.29%
Under 2.5 89.71%
Over 3.5 3.3%
Under 3.5 96.7%

Score analysis

AZ Alkmaar 48.72%
Draw 25.01%
Shakhtar Donetsk 26.26%
AZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 11.02%
2-1 @ 9.22%
2-0 @ 8.61%
3-0 @ 4.73%
3-1 @ 4.56%
3-2 @ 2.55%
Other @ 8.03%
Total : 48.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.55%
0-0 @ 7.19%
2-2 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 25.01%
Shakhtar Donetsk
0-1 @ 7.1%
1-2 @ 6.24%
0-2 @ 3.86%
1-3 @ 2.35%
2-3 @ 2.01%
0-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 26.26%

Head to Head

Conference League
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana
  • Artem Bondarenko 24' yellowcard
  • Pedrinho 72' goal
  • 74' yellowcard
  • 74' yellowcard
  • Lassina Traoré 74' yellowcard
  • Eguinaldo 74' yellowcard
  • Alisson 81' goal
  • Alisson 83' goal
  • Yegor Nazaryna 89' yellowcard
  • Yukhym Konoplya 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Elijah Dijkstra 46'
  • yellowcard Ro-Zangelo Daal 55'
  • yellowcard Ayoub Oufkir 73'
  • yellowcard Ayoub Oufkir 74'
  • yellowcard 74'
  • yellowcard Mexx Meerdink 74'
  • yellowcard 75'