Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 48.72%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk has a probability of 26.28% and a draw has a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win is 0-1 (7.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.55%).