Conference League
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-
Timothy Ouma
46'
-
João Moutinho
61'
-
Taofeek Ismaheel
61'
-
Patrik Wålemark
61'
-
Mikael Ishak
70'
-
Yannick Agnero
83'
-
Marlon Gomes
27'
-
Marlon Gomes
36'
-
Newerton
48'
-
Yegor Nazaryna
74'
-
Lucas Ferreira
75'
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Isaque
75'
-
Isaque
85'
-
Prosper Obah
89'
Lech Poznan vs Shakhtar Donetsk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 36.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.88%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 2-1 (7.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result
Lech Poznan
36.05%
▲
(+0.15)
Draw
23.84%
▲
(+0.02)
Shakhtar Donetsk
40.11%
▼
(-0.15)
Both Teams to Score:
57.5%
▲
(+0.11)
Goals
Over 1.5
79.32%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 1.5
20.68%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 2.5
56.71%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 2.5
43.26%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 3.5
35.65%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 3.5
64.35%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 4.5
21.2%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 4.5
78.8%
▼
(-0.14)
First Half Winner
Lech Poznan
28.14%
▲
(+0.06)
Draw
39.67%
Shakhtar Donetsk
32.18%
▼
(-0.07)
Team To Score First
Lech Poznan
43.32%
▲
(+0.18)
No Goal
5.31%
▼
(-0.02)
Shakhtar Donetsk
51.37%
▼
(-0.18)
Corners
Over 8
50.69%
▼
(-0.02)
Equal 8
11.14%
Under 8
38.18%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 9
39.93%
Equal 9
10.76%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 9
49.31%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 10.5
30.32%
Under 10.5
69.68%
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 1.5
39.6%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 1.5
60.4%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 2.5
17.22%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 2.5
82.78%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 3.5
6.26%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 3.5
93.74%
▼
(-0.10)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5
73.34%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 0.5
26.66%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 1.5
43%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
57%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 2.5
19.28%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
80.72%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
7.28%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
92.72%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
Lech Poznan
36.05%
Draw
23.84%
Shakhtar Donetsk
40.11%
Lech Poznan
2-1
@
7.58%
1-0 @ 7.49% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.45% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.07% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 6.04% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 36.05%
1-0 @ 7.49% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.45% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.07% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 6.04% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 36.05%
Draw
1-1
@
10.83%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.01% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 23.84%
2-2 @ 6.01% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 23.84%
Shakhtar Donetsk
1-2
@
8.31%
▼
(-0.03)
0-1 @ 7.88% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 6.33% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.34%
0-3 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 7.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 40.11%
0-1 @ 7.88% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 6.33% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.34%
0-3 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 7.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 40.11%