Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for Lech Poznan has a probability of 35.87% and a draw has a probability of 23.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win is 2-1 (7.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.84%).