Conference League
Mar 12, 2026 5.45pm

Lech Poznan vs Shakhtar Donetsk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lech Poznan

All competitions

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for Lech Poznan has a probability of 35.87% and a draw has a probability of 23.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win is 2-1 (7.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.84%).

Result

Lech Poznan 35.87% (-0.53)
Draw 23.86% (-0.13)
Shakhtar Donetsk 40.27% (+0.63)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.46% (+0.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.3% (+0.26)
Under 1.5 20.7% (-0.27)
Over 2.5 56.73% (+0.40)
Under 2.5 43.27% (-0.40)
Over 3.5 35.55% (+0.47)
Under 3.5 64.45% (-0.47)
Over 4.5 21.11% (+0.35)
Under 4.5 78.89% (-0.35)

First Half Winner

Lech Poznan 28.11% (+0.01)
Draw 39.66% (-0.03)
Shakhtar Donetsk 32.23% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Lech Poznan 43.26% (+0.05)
No Goal 5.31% (-0.12)
Shakhtar Donetsk 51.43% (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 50.78% (-0.33)
Equal 8 11.15% (-0.05)
Under 8 38.07% (+0.37)
Over 9 40% (-0.25)
Equal 9 10.78% (-0.08)
Under 9 49.22% (+0.33)
Over 10.5 30.36% (-0.18)
Under 10.5 69.64% (+0.18)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 1.5 39.44% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 60.56% (+0.20)
Over 2.5 17.1% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 82.9% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 6.18%
Under 3.5 93.82%

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5 73.46% (+0.46)
Under 0.5 26.54% (-0.47)
Over 1.5 43.11% (+0.71)
Under 1.5 56.89% (-0.71)
Over 2.5 19.35% (+0.54)
Under 2.5 80.65% (-0.54)
Over 3.5 7.29% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 92.71% (-0.25)

Score analysis

Lech Poznan 35.87%
Draw 23.85%
Shakhtar Donetsk 40.26%
Lech Poznan
2-1 @ 7.59% (-0.09)
1-0 @ 7.47% (-0.19)
2-0 @ 5.4% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 4.02% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.38% (-0.09)
Other @ 5.96% (-0.01)
Total : 35.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.84% (-0.10)
2-2 @ 6.01% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.31% (-0.12)
3-3 @ 1.47% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.22% (+0.02)
Total : 23.85%
Shakhtar Donetsk
1-2 @ 8.36% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 7.9% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.34% (+0.10)
1-3 @ 4.41% (+0.12)
2-3 @ 3.34% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 2.84% (+0.05)
Other @ 7.07% (+0.25)
Total : 40.26%